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Kickform has analyzed the probability of each Euro 2020 team to reach the round of 16, quarter finals, semi finals, finals, and to win the whole tournament. After each game, the predictions are recalculated and updated with the KickForm football formula using a complex simulation.
| Team / Probability in % | 1/8-Final | 1/4-Final | 1/2-Final | Final | Winner |
 Italy |
100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 57 |
 England |
100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 43 |
 Germany |
100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Netherlands |
100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Austria |
100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Czechia |
100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Finland |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Hungary |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Wales |
100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Ukraine |
100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Turkey |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Scotland |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Slovakia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Belgium |
100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Denmark |
100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
 Spain |
100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
 Switzerland |
100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Sweden |
100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Russia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Portugal |
100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Poland |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Croatia |
100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 France |
100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 North Macedonia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |